Democrats flip Santos’ House seat in early election-year test
By Nicholas Fandos
NEW YORK – Tom Suozzi, a former Democratic congressman, won a closely watched special House election in New York on Tuesday (13) narrowing the Republican majority in Washington and offering his party a potential playbook to run in key suburban swing areas in November.
His victory in the Queens and Long Island district avenged a year of humiliation unleashed by the seat’s former occupant, George Santos, and stanched a trend that had seen Republicans capture nearly every major election on Long Island since 2021.
Suozzi, 61, fended off the Republican nominee, Mazi Pilip, in a race that became an expensive preview of many of the fights expected to dominate November’s general election, especially over the influx of migrants at the border and in New York City.
A well-known centrist, Suozzi distanced himself from his party, calling for harsher policies at the border and vowing to work with Republicans to fix a broken immigration system. Polls suggested the independent approach helped narrow Pilip’s advantage on the issue, as Democratic super political action committees deluged her with ads attacking her as anti-abortion.
In the end, the race also became an old-fashioned local contest over turnout as a rare election day snowstorm blanketed Long Island. The 11th-hour twist most likely helped Democrats, who had turned out in larger numbers during early voting despite Republicans’ vaunted Nassau County machine.
With 93% of votes counted, Suozzi had won 54% of the vote compared with 46% for Pilip, according to The Associated Press.
Suozzi’s comeback will have an immediate impact in Washington. After he is seated, Speaker Mike Johnson can afford to lose only two votes on any partisan bill, an unwieldy margin that could limit Republicans’ election-year legislative agenda.
Addressing supporters in Woodbury, New York, on Long Island, Suozzi said his victory was an endorsement of the moderate approach he has championed for decades as a mayor, county executive and congressman.
“This race was fought amidst a closely divided electorate, much like our whole country,” Suozzi said. “We won because we addressed the issues and we found a way to bind our divisions.”
It was also a personal vindication for Suozzi, an ambitious career politician who has watched his fortune rise and fall over three decades in office. He gave up his House seat after three terms in 2022 to run for governor of New York, only to finish in a distant third place in the Democratic primary.
The cost of that decision became more clear as Santos was exposed as a serial liar and was ultimately charged by federal prosecutors with 23 criminal counts of campaign fraud and other charges. The House expelled him in December after he had served nearly a year.
“Thank God,” Suozzi revelled at his victory party, boasting that he had overcome “all the lies about Tom Suozzi and the Squad, about Tom Suozzi being the godfather of the migrant crisis, about ‘Sanctuary Suozzi’,” and despite the Republican machine’s best efforts
Republicans in New York and Washington always knew that retaining the seat vacated by Santos would be somewhat challenging given the Democrats’ modest advantage in registered voters and Suozzi’s name recognition. But party leaders were confident that they could prevail in a district that includes some of the nation’s wealthiest suburban enclaves.
But barely an hour after the polls had closed, they were conceding. Pilip, a 44-year-old county legislator, did not directly say whether she would run again against Suozzi in the fall but implied she was not ready to step off the political stage.
“Yes we lost, but it doesn’t mean we’re going to end here,” Pilip told supporters at a watch party. “We’re going to continue the fight.”
There was little reason to believe the outcome would alter former President Donald Trump’s determination to make immigration a mainstay of his own campaign. But it is likely to force Republican leaders and strategists mapping out the race for the House and Senate to reconsider the potency of the border issue that Pilip made the centrepiece of her campaign.
The issue was especially resonant here at the outskirts of New York City, and Democrats had privately warned in the race’s final weeks that it could be enough to defeat Suozzi. Voters were confronted with daily headlines about the spike in illegal border crossings and the more than 170,000 migrants who have arrived in New York. Just a week before election day, the New York City police commissioner warned that a “wave of migrant crime” had “washed” over the city.
Rather than write it off as an issue that favoured Republicans, though, Suozzi made the migrant crisis a daily focus, along with cutting taxes, fighting crime and protecting abortion rights. He called for Biden to temporarily close the southern border and sought to show voters that he, too, saw the problem and wanted it fixed.
-New York Times
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