West African nations threaten military action unless Niger coup is undone

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Demonstrators gather in support of the putschist soldiers in the capita Niamey, Niger on Sunday (July 30, 2023). Signs read "long live CNSP", "down with France, ECOWAS" -Balima Boureima/Reuters
By Declan Walsh

NAIROBI, Kenya — West African leaders on Sunday (30) threatened military action against Niger, where soldiers seized power in a coup Wednesday (26) unless the country’s democratically elected president is restored to office within a week.

The demand was issued by the Economic Community of West African States, or ECOWAS, a 15-member regional bloc, after a crisis summit in Nigeria. It echoed earlier calls by the United States and France, major security allies of Niger, which warned they will cut aid and military ties worth hundreds of millions of dollars unless the deposed leader, Mohamed Bazoum, is reinstated.

After coup supporters massed Sunday outside the French Embassy in the capital, Niamey, burning French flags and calling for the withdrawal of French troops, French President Emmanuel Macron issued a stiffly worded warning. Any attack on France’s citizens or interests in Niger will be met with an “immediate and uncompromising” reaction, Macron said in a statement.

ECOWAS, in a statement, vowed to take “all measures necessary” to restore democratic rule in Niger and said that “may include the use of force.” It imposed financial sanctions on the putschists, led by the new self-declared leader, Gen. Abdourahmane Tchiani.

The new junta, however, insisted it was going nowhere. In a statement before the summit, it warned forcefully against any foreign military intervention.

“We want to once more remind ECOWAS or any other adventurer of our firm determination to defend our homeland,” a junta spokesperson said Saturday (29) night in a televised statement.

The junta also faced opposition at home: hundreds of protesters demonstrated in support of Bazoum in several cities across Niger.

The summit, rival protests and duelling statements fuelled the growing sense of crisis in Niger, a vast and impoverished country. The coup caught many by surprise, including Western countries now seeking to engineer a reverse.

That is a tall order: Experts say coups are very hard to undo once a few days have passed. But the demands are a measure of the alarmed response to the turmoil in a country seen by the West as a crucial ally in a region where Islamist militants are expanding their grip.

France has about 1,500 troops in Niger, which it ruled as a colony until 1960, and there are about 1,100 US troops, many stationed at drone bases used to carry out airstrikes against militants in Niger and neighbouring countries.

On Saturday, France and the European Union suspended some aid to Niger, and US Secretary of State Antony Blinken said American security ties, worth about $500 million since 2012, were also in jeopardy.

As ever in the region these days, Russia loomed in the background.

Coup supporters waved Russian flags in Niamey on Sunday and hung one on the wall of the French Embassy — an echo of similar scenes in Burkina Faso and Mali, where Russian flags also emerged among people celebrating coups in 2021 and 2022.

Experts say there is no evidence that Russia is behind the coup in Niger, where personal factors are considered a more probable trigger. Tensions had been building steadily between Bazoum and Tchiani, the head of the presidential guard.

(Bazoum’s whereabouts remained uncertain Sunday, although he was widely presumed to still be in detention at the presidential palace.)

Still, experts say it’s another sign of how Russia has positioned itself as the emblem of anti-Western, and especially anti-French, sentiment in broad patches of Africa. And that helps to create other openings for the Kremlin.

In neighbouring Mali, about 1,000 members of Russia’s Wagner private military company have replaced about 5,000 French troops who pulled out last year. Wagner is also a major presence in the Central African Republic, where it protects President Faustin-Archange Touadéra, who held a referendum on Sunday aimed at prolonging his tenure.

The coup in Niger means that an uninterrupted line of countries stretching across Africa, from the Atlantic to the Red Sea, is under military control. Many are former French colonies where a visceral anger at perceived French paternalism and post-colonial meddling has boosted support for the putschists.

“Niger has suffered too much under France’s orders,” said Karimou Sidi, a pro-coup demonstrator in Niamey on Sunday. “Enough is enough.”

The coups are straining traditional regional blocs, like ECOWAS, which in recent years has suspended three of its states — Burkina Faso, Guinea and Mali — over military takeovers, with Niger possibly following soon.

In recent decades, ECOWAS has deployed peacekeepers to numerous crisis-hit countries, including Liberia and Guinea-Bissau. Despite its tough talk Sunday, it may need to find a middle path to navigate its way out of the Niger crisis, said Idayat Hassan, a Nigerian analyst.

“Any strong sanctions will impact citizens the most in a country and region with increasingly strong anti-West sentiments, while also pushing the putschists more into the hands of Russia and or Prigozhin and Wagner forces,” Hassan, a senior associate with the Centre for Strategic and International Studies, a Washington-based research institute, said, referring to Yevgeny Prigozhin, who leads the mercenary group.

-New York Times

 

 

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