Developing countries face record debt costs amid interest rate surge
By Alan Rappeport
WASHINGTON — Soaring inflation saddled developing countries with a record $1.4 trillion in debt servicing costs last year, the World Bank said in a report published Tuesday (3), detailing the precarious state faced by the world’s most vulnerable economies since the pandemic.
As central banks around the world raised interest rates to slow rising prices, poor countries with already high debt burdens saw the interest payments on the money that they owed to creditors balloon. While principal balances held steady at around $951 billion, interest payments jumped by a third, to $406 billion. That has left more countries facing fiscal crises and struggling to avoid default.
“These facts imply a metastasizing solvency crisis that continues to be misdiagnosed as a liquidity problem in many of the poorest countries,” Indermit Gill, the World Bank’s chief economist, wrote in the report. “It is easy to kick the can down the road, to provide these countries just enough financing to help them meet their immediate repayment obligations. But that simply extends their purgatory.”
More than a dozen sovereign nations defaulted on their debt in the past three years, and more than 30 of the world’s poorest countries have experienced “debt distress”, according to the United Nations. In 2023, Belarus, Ghana, Lebanon, Sri Lanka and Zambia were all in default, according to Fitch Ratings.
Global financial institutions such as the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund have been working with international lenders to help developing countries restructure their debt, but the process has been slow and painstaking. China, the world’s largest creditor, has been particularly reluctant to alter the terms of its loans as it grapples with its own economic challenges.
The Biden administration has been critical of China’s lending practices. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen described them as “opaque” in an interview with The New York Times in October in which she called for accelerating debt relief. She also raised the idea of helping nations find new sources of borrowing by creating coordinated aid packages for “high-ambition countries” that want to invest in clean energy projects.
“It’s a substantial burden and can impede their investments in things that will promote sustainable development or dealing with pandemics or climate change,” Yellen said of the debt burdens of low- and middle-income countries.
The IMF estimated that global public debt would exceed $100 trillion this year, and the World Bank has warned that poverty-reduction efforts have reached a standstill because of weak growth in poor countries that were hardest hit by the pandemic.
Gill wrote in the World Bank report that developing countries were stuck because their debt burdens made it difficult to attract the investment needed to spur economic growth. He argued that these economies deserved some of the same protections that companies and individuals approaching bankruptcy often received.
“It’s time to face the reality,” Gill said. “The poorest countries facing debt distress need debt relief if they are to have a shot at lasting prosperity.”
The interest burdens on developing countries are mounting as international institutions such as the World Bank could face a crossroads when President-elect Donald Trump takes office next month.
The policy document Project 2025, which some of Trump’s former White House aides drafted, calls for the United States to withdraw from the World Bank and the IMF entirely. Although Trump approved funding increases for the World Bank during his previous term as president, he could decide to revisit America’s foreign aid priorities.
-New York Times
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